Evaluation of the performance of three non-invasive scores for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in a population with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Abstract

Introduction. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide, with approximately 10% of cases progressing to cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver fibrosis presence is the best predictor of this progression, yet its diagnosis through liver biopsy is invasive and poses risk of complications. Although non-invasive scoring systems have been developed and validated for fibrosis staging, their performance remains unexplored in the Colombian population. This study aims to assess the efficacy of the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, AST/ALT ratio, and AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) in detecting advanced fibrosis among Colombian NAFLD patients. Methods. This cross-sectional observational study included NAFLD patients with available liver biopsy results from 2008 to 2022. Basic demographic characteristics were described, and FIB-4, APRI, and AST/ALT ratio were calculated using the latest laboratory data before the procedure. Subsequently, sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) were computed for previously assessed cutoff points. Results. A total of 176 patients were included, among whom 14.3% had advanced fibrosis. FIB-4 demonstrated superior performance with an AUC-ROC value of 0.74 for cutoff points of 1.30 and 2.67. Following was the AST/ALT ratio with an AUC-ROC value of 0.68 for cutoff point of 0.8, and finally, APRI with an AUC-ROC of 0.62 for the cutoff point of 1. Conclusion. All three scores have lower diagnostic efficacy compared to results reported in Europe and Japan. FIB-4 is the only one that achieves an acceptable AUC-ROC performance with the limitation that an indeterminate result was obtained in 27,4% of the sample.